Our
understanding of trade deals is limited because they have largely been a
matter for the EU. Post-Brexit, we should be concerned about what's
happening in Europe, as well as what sort of trade deals are being negotiated
by our government worldwide.
Most
people will be aware of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
(TTIP) between the USA and the EU, but less aware of the Comprehensive Economic
and Trade Agreement (CETA) between Canada and the EU. Initial votes on this are
imminent and the deal has many similarities with TTIP. Boris Johnson is also
record as saying that CETA is a good model for future trade deals.
Yesterday,
I was speaking at an event looking at the health impact of trade deals. While the risks to the NHS are recognised,
the wider impact on health policy has not been given the attention it deserves.
Even
with the inclusion of health on the 'negative list' in CETA, the definitions
are likely to be narrow and this still leaves open a range of other public
services that impact on health. The aim of trade deals is to create a
globalised market in public services and the 'negative list' approach is too
weak. There is also a 'ratchet clause' in CETA that locks in privatisation,
even when democratically elected governments want to bring them into public
ownership.
There
is no protection for public services in the investment chapter that allows
private corporations to by-pass governments and domestic courts in favour of
tribunals (ISDS), run by private trade lawyers. This exposes a wide range of
Scottish public services to challenge because they all have elements of private
provision already. Examples include Scottish Water and procurement initiatives
like the Scottish Living Wage.
Another
aim of trade deals is to reduce the supposed ‘regulatory barriers’ to trade,
through ‘mutual recognition’ of regulatory standards. In effect a race to the
bottom that ignores the precautionary principle in favour of lower safeguards,
commonly found in the USA. In practice, this requires little direct action
because ISDS creates a ‘regulatory chill’ factor that stays hand of
governments.
The
specific health impact of CETA and other trade deals include broadening and
extending intellectual property rights which could delay the availability of
cheaper generic drugs. All public procurement is covered and this could curtail
buy- local food purchasing programs in Scotland as promoted in UNISON
Scotland's Food for Good Charter. There is a sustainable development chapter,
but like the ILO clause, these are aspirational with no effective citizens
right to challenge. Regulation restrictions include licensing procedures that
are “as simple as possible”, which means as weak as possible! There is also
inadequate protection for public water services and on the ILO Convention right
to organise, there is only a weak call on Canada to ratify.
If,
as seems increasingly likely, the UK government goes for hard Brexit, trade
deals will have to be negotiated across the world. So we need to take the
debate away from darkened rooms of international trade lawyers and into wider
public debate. This means not just saying what we don't like about them, but
also to debate what a progressive trade deal might look like.
There
are few international models to copy. The possible exception is the South
American APP agreement. However, that is based on a unique barter arrangement
that it would be difficult to replicate in Europe.
A
progressive trade deal would not build in a comparative advantage that locks in
poor countries to a system that makes the global South produce goods that are
paid for by speculation economy in the North. To illustrate this, the average
EU cow is subsidised by $800, while the average annual income in Ethiopa is
$100. Neither do we want the Singapore model, where the UK seeks to out-compete
the EU through lower regulation and wages.
It
ought to be possible to negotiate trade deals that include enforceable
environmental and human rights commitments that control transnational
corporations, with a citizen rights to challenge. Warm words in a trade deal
are not enough - there has to be an effective remedy for everyone, not just the
corporations. A progressive trade deal would encourage the transfer of skills and technologies, not
monopolise them. Trade should contribute to social goals, not limit them. From
a health perspective they should include a health impact assessment as
standard.
We
need to do much more to flesh out these ideas, before the UK government goes
away and negotiates in secret. The Trade Justice Movement's, Alternative Trade
Mandate 10 Point Plan is a good starting point.
The
secrecy and complexity of trade agreements has resulted in very little public
debate over their contents. That has to change because they impinge on almost
every aspect of public policy, particularly health. The very best public health
strategies are useless if they are struck down by private corporations. Modern
trade deals are almost an alternative constitution. We wouldn't leave that
simply to the lawyers and neither should we with trade.
P.S.
You can join the campaign against CETA by emailing your MEP here. The Scottish campaign will be lobbying the SNP conference on Saturday.
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