Musical chairs
around the council chamber won't alter the challenges facing local government
in Scotland.
The voters have
had their say and there are a lot of new councillors taking responsibility for
our vital local services. The Tories made the headlines with large numbers of
new councillors and they delivered a share of the vote in line with recent
opinion polls. The SNP held onto their council seats, but as 2012 was a
disappointing year, they expected to do much better. Their share of the vote
was significantly down on current polling, even allowing for the share that
goes to independents. It remains to be seen if this reflects the passing of
'Peak Nat'. The SNP's hostility and underfunding of local government, coupled
with the lower turnout, may result in differential voting in local elections.
For Scottish
Labour, the share of the vote was significantly higher than recent polling,
although that didn't protect all those elected in the fairly good 2012
elections - well before Indyref and the binary proposition that Scottish
politics has become. Ironically, many councillors who bitterly opposed PR, now
have good cause to be thankful for the system. Nearly half of Scottish Labour
councillors are new, a very welcome development and an opportunity for Labour
to move away from an often stale administrative approach to local politics.
The post-match
analysis within Labour falls back on how unionist Labour should be. The problem
will always be that few Labour activists get out of bed in the morning to
defend flags of the unionist or nationalist variety. Socialists want to change
society and therefore Scottish Labour simply has to work in that middle ground
that is not obsessed by the constitution.
With every
council in no overall control, PR has delivered the sort of political balance
you would expect. This week will see a variety of local agreements and some new
local alliances. The media prediction of pro-union coalitions may not be
realised, given Scottish Labour's strong anti-austerity coalition framework.
The Tories created austerity and the SNP dumped it on local government, so
neither make attractive coalition partners. However, when it comes to
progressive local priorities, SNP and Labour councillors will probably be
closer than they are with the Tories.
Whoever leads
our councils they are going to face some difficult decisions. This year was not
the worst financially, with the extra revenue from council tax bands and in
some cases the basic rate, mitigating the revenue cut from the Scottish
Government. Many councils plugged the remaining gap with reserves, putting off
some difficult long-term decisions.
The next two
years are likely to be much more difficult if the Tories are re-elected and
continue with their failed policy of austerity. Councillors will be pressed by
officials to make difficult structural changes
to services rather than the salami slicing of recent years.
They will also
be faced with service reform proposals. Some will be local, often based on
tired old top down solutions like shared services. Others will come from
national changes driven by the Scottish Government in areas like schools and
early years. Then there is the planned review of local government. In four
years time councillors might find that local government is withering on the
vine, unless they learn quickly to stand up for local government.
The unhelpful
Local Government Partnership should come to an end and local government should
once again speak with something close to one voice through COSLA. It will be
interesting to see how effective the new political dynamics within COSLA will
be in standing up for local democracy.
So,
congratulations to all those elected last week. I'm sorry I can't paint a
rosier picture of the challenges ahead, but it's worth remembering that few
councillors were elected on an austerity ticket. Even Tory leaflets called for
more and better local services. Councillors should defend local services and
those who deliver them.
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